the relationship between stock market and macroeconomic variables: a case study for iran

نویسندگان
چکیده

this paper examines the causal relationship between stock prices and macroeconomic aggregates in iran, by applying the techniques of the long–run granger non–causality test proposed by toda and yamamoto (1995). we test the causal relationships between the tepix index and the three macroeconomic variables: money supply, value of trade balance, and industrial production using quarterly data for the period 1372:1 to 1383:4. the results show unidirectional long run causality from macroeconomic variables to stock market. accordingly, the stock prices are not a leading indicator for economic variables, which is inconsistent with the previous findings that the stock market rationally signals changes in real activities. contrarily, the macro variables seem to lead stock prices. so, tehran stock exchange (tse) is not informationally efficient

برای دانلود باید عضویت طلایی داشته باشید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

The Relationship between Stock Market and Macroeconomic Variables: a Case Study for Iran

This paper examines the causal relationship between stock prices and macroeconomic aggregates in Iran, by applying the techniques of the long–run Granger non–causality test proposed by Toda and Yamamoto (1995). We test the causal relationships between the TEPIX Index and the three macroeconomic variables: money supply, value of trade balance, and industrial production using quarterly data for t...

متن کامل

an investigation about the relationship between insurance lines and economic growth; the case study of iran

مطالعات قبلی بازار بیمه را به صورت کلی در نظر می گرفتند اما در این مطالعه صنعت بیمه به عنوان متغیر مستفل به بیمه های زندگی و غیر زندگی شکسته شده و هم چنین بیمه های زندگی به رشته های مختلف بیمه ای که در بازار بیمه ایران سهم قابل توجهی دارند تقسیم میشود. با استفاده از روشهای اقتصاد سنجی داده های برای دوره های 48-89 از مراکز ملی داده جمع آوری شد سپس با تخمین مدل خود بازگشتی برداری همراه با تعدادی ...

15 صفحه اول

Causal Relationship Between Macro-Economic Variables and Stock Market: A Case Study for India

In this research paper, attempt has been made to explore the relation especially the causal relation between stock market index i.e. BSE Sensex and three key macro economic variables of Indian economy by using correlation, unit root stationarity tests and Granger causality test. Monthly data has been used from April,1995 to March, 2009 for all the variables, like, BSE Sensex, wholesale price in...

متن کامل

Macroeconomic Variables and Stock Market: US Review

This focus of this paper are the effect, implication, impact and realtionship between selected macroeconomic variables and wider US indices S&P 500 and industrial Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA). I Consider inflation, interest rates, money supply, producer price index, industrial production index, oil price and unemployment and their impact on selected stock indices in the USA between 1999 ...

متن کامل

منابع من

با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید


عنوان ژورنال:
iranian economic review

جلد ۱۲، شماره ۱۸، صفحات ۵۱-۶۲

کلمات کلیدی

میزبانی شده توسط پلتفرم ابری doprax.com

copyright © 2015-2023